'The Yanks Have Really Screwed Up in Iraq': Interview with Scott Taylor
'I visited Kirkuk, Erbil, Tikrit and Baghdad. I can tell you that Iraq, though calm on the surface, is like a boiling kettle. The Yanks won't be able to keep the lid on it much longer. Look, Chalabi had 80 bodyguards, and 12 of them were killed on his second day in the country. Now he is under Marine protection... Everyone is preparing for civil war and mistrusting the other groups... they are planning for two civil wars. The first would be between Shiite fundamentalists and non-fundamentalists in the south; the second could conceivably turn into a nasty three-way fight in the north, between Kurds, Turkmen and Arabs... Unless Bush works a miracle, there will be civil war. I put the odds right now at about 60 percent.'

'The Yanks Have Really Screwed Up in Iraq': Interview with Scott Taylor
'I visited Kirkuk, Erbil, Tikrit and Baghdad. I can tell you that Iraq, though calm on the surface, is like a boiling kettle. The Yanks won't be able to keep the lid on it much longer. Look, Chalabi had 80 bodyguards, and 12 of them were killed on his second day in the country. Now he is under Marine protection... Everyone is preparing for civil war and mistrusting the other groups... they are planning for two civil wars. The first would be between Shiite fundamentalists and non-fundamentalists in the south; the second could conceivably turn into a nasty three-way fight in the north, between Kurds, Turkmen and Arabs... Unless Bush works a miracle, there will be civil war. I put the odds right now at about 60 percent.'